How do you address the Gaza issue? Do you remind people that Bibi is besties with the Felon and that the Felon would only help to "end the war" by murdering more Palestinians faster???
VERY VERY slowly. For all indecisive voters, whatever their issue, I NEVER tell them anything until late in the process. "Telling" doesn't help. Personal stories don't help. You need to meet the voters where they are.
I start with asking the person what they would do to solve the situation. ALL of my interactions with undecided voters are predicated on asking questions rather than telling them anything, unless they ask.
They all come around to the idea of a ceasefire, return of hostages and THEN sitting down to negotiate going forward.
My next question is about what they think the US can do beyond holding back offensive weapons and moderating any negotiations. I ask if their siblings/children/co-workers were fighting -- while they could potentially break up the fight -- could then solve the underlying problem, or would that be up to the parties involved? I then say that I personally believe neither Hamas nor the Netenyahu government WANTS to stop killing. I believe they want war, and I ask if the voter agrees.
Then I ask how THEY would get Hamas and Netenyahu to WANT to NOT kill? This leads to a discussion of the historical troubles in the region.
I bring it back to what Kamala Harris can do -- do they know, for example, that she is VICE president and therefore must toe the presidential line? I point out that she has said forcefully in several speeches that she wants a ceasefire and a return of hostages, just like the voter. I ask what she could do NOW, or what could THEY do if they were vice president right now. If elected, what could she do MORE than push for ceasefire and hostage return?
THEN, I ask if they know what Trump has proposed. Often, they do, and they say he would bomb Gaza. At this point, I mention that last week the WHO announced that they finished the second round of polio vaccines for 500,000 Palestinian kids, and I think that's progress. And his real position would be to bomb ALL of Gaza into oblivion -- and rebuild it with Trump-branded resorts.
And so, I ask them, understanding that the situation is fraught, and horrible, and historical, which is better: the possibility of hope and negotiation, or certain death for all Palestinians?
The University of Iowa has had a political prediction market since 1988. Since it's run by academics, I suspect it's a bit more neutral than the crypto market. https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/iem_market_info/pres24_vs/
I can't see anything until I read the prospectus and sign up for an account. What do they have as odds for the race?
How do you address the Gaza issue? Do you remind people that Bibi is besties with the Felon and that the Felon would only help to "end the war" by murdering more Palestinians faster???
VERY VERY slowly. For all indecisive voters, whatever their issue, I NEVER tell them anything until late in the process. "Telling" doesn't help. Personal stories don't help. You need to meet the voters where they are.
I start with asking the person what they would do to solve the situation. ALL of my interactions with undecided voters are predicated on asking questions rather than telling them anything, unless they ask.
They all come around to the idea of a ceasefire, return of hostages and THEN sitting down to negotiate going forward.
My next question is about what they think the US can do beyond holding back offensive weapons and moderating any negotiations. I ask if their siblings/children/co-workers were fighting -- while they could potentially break up the fight -- could then solve the underlying problem, or would that be up to the parties involved? I then say that I personally believe neither Hamas nor the Netenyahu government WANTS to stop killing. I believe they want war, and I ask if the voter agrees.
Then I ask how THEY would get Hamas and Netenyahu to WANT to NOT kill? This leads to a discussion of the historical troubles in the region.
I bring it back to what Kamala Harris can do -- do they know, for example, that she is VICE president and therefore must toe the presidential line? I point out that she has said forcefully in several speeches that she wants a ceasefire and a return of hostages, just like the voter. I ask what she could do NOW, or what could THEY do if they were vice president right now. If elected, what could she do MORE than push for ceasefire and hostage return?
THEN, I ask if they know what Trump has proposed. Often, they do, and they say he would bomb Gaza. At this point, I mention that last week the WHO announced that they finished the second round of polio vaccines for 500,000 Palestinian kids, and I think that's progress. And his real position would be to bomb ALL of Gaza into oblivion -- and rebuild it with Trump-branded resorts.
And so, I ask them, understanding that the situation is fraught, and horrible, and historical, which is better: the possibility of hope and negotiation, or certain death for all Palestinians?
It takes a long time, and often several visits.